What leaving your money in the bank really costs
It feels safe, but it is not free: with interest below inflation, money in the bank buys a little less every year. The sums, with the real 2026 rates.
SeriesInvest with Your HeadAct 1: The problem1/12
TL;DR
Leaving money in the bank is not free. In 2026 a term deposit pays on average about 1.4% gross, little more than 1% after tax, while inflation was 2.3% in 2025. Twenty thousand euros in a deposit buy, ten years later, the equivalent of about 17 600 € today. In a current account, about 15 900 €. The loss is silent, but it is real.
Why does idle money lose value?
Because prices rise and the balance does not keep up. Inflation in Portugal was 2.4% in 2024 and 2.3% in 2025, measured by the Consumer Price Index2. Over the same period, the average rate on new household term deposits fell from about 2.2% to 1.36%1. And that interest is taxed: 28% IRS, withheld at source3.
Do the sums and a typical term deposit pays about 0.98% net a year today, against inflation of 2.3%. The real rate, the one that matters, is about minus 0.9%. Every year that passes, the money in the bank buys a little less. In a current account, where most banks pay nothing, the loss is the whole of inflation.
This is not a criticism of banks or of deposits. It is a description of an interest rate that sits below the rise in prices, and of what that does to savers.
How much does it cost, in euros?
Take a concrete case: 20 000 € kept for ten years, with inflation at the 2.3% the INE measured for 2025. Three scenarios, all computed with this site's tools:
| Where the money is | Balance after 10 years | What it buys, in today's euros | Loss of purchasing power |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current account (0%) | 20 000 € | about 15 900 € | about 4 100 € |
| Term deposit (1.36% gross, 0.98% net) | about 22 050 € | about 17 600 € | about 2 400 € |
| Invested at 5% gross (3.6% net) | about 28 500 € | about 22 700 € | gain of about 2 700 € |
Assumptions: constant 2.3% inflation, deposit interest at 1.36% with 28% tax withheld every year, and an investment at 5% gross a year, also taxed at 28%. The 5% is an illustrative assumption, not a promise: investment returns vary and can be negative in some years. What does not vary is the loss in the deposit.
Notice what the table shows: in the deposit the balance rises by 2 050 €, and the saver still loses 2 400 € of purchasing power. That is why the loss goes unnoticed. The bank statement tells one story, the supermarket tells another.
And for someone who saves every month?
The effect repeats with monthly contributions, only over a longer period. Someone who saves 200 € a month for 20 years puts 48 000 € of their own money in. What happens to it depends almost entirely on where it goes:
| Where | Balance after 20 years | In today's euros |
|---|---|---|
| Term deposit (0.98% net) | about 53 000 € | about 33 600 € |
| Invested at 5% gross (3.6% net) | about 70 100 € | about 44 500 € |
In the deposit, the 48 000 € saved with effort are worth, in purchasing power, about 33 600 €. Twenty years of discipline, and inflation ate almost a third. You can reproduce these sums in the compound interest calculator, which already includes tax and inflation.
So money should not be in the bank?
It should. Part of it. The practical rule has two boxes:
- The emergency fund, three to six months of expenses, stays where it is safe and available overnight: a term deposit with early withdrawal, a savings account or savings certificates. The goal here is not to earn, it is to be there when the car breaks down. Deposits up to 100 000 € per depositor and per bank are covered by the Deposit Guarantee Fund4.
- The money you will not need in the coming years is what this article is about. It is the money that loses to inflation, and the money that has time to earn more than it.
The common mistake is not having money in the bank. It is having all the money in the bank, including what will only be used in ten or twenty years.
What to do with the rest?
That is the question the rest of the series answers, in order. First, why trying to pick the right moment to invest does not work (and why that is good news). Then, what the data say about funds, ETFs and fees. And finally, how to build a simple portfolio and take the first step. None of these steps requires forecasting the market or picking stocks. It only requires seeing that idle money has a cost, and that the cost can be measured.
Before moving on, put your own numbers into the inflation calculator: the balance you have sitting idle, the rate your bank pays you and the years until you need it.
Common mistakes
Confusing nominal and real interest
A deposit at 1.36% with inflation at 2.3% has a real rate of about minus 0.9% a year. The balance grows, what it buys shrinks. Only the real rate tells you whether you are gaining or losing.
Forgetting the tax on interest
In Portugal, deposit interest is taxed at 28% (IRS), withheld at source. Of 1.36% gross, about 0.98% net remains. The figures in this article already include that tax.
Treating all money the same way
The emergency fund (three to six months of expenses) must be available and safe: a bank deposit or savings certificates. The mistake is keeping long-term savings under the same regime.
Frequently asked questions
How much does money in the bank earn in 2026?
Is it safe to leave money in the bank?
Does inflation affect savings?
Is a term deposit worth it in 2026?
How much do I lose leaving 10 000 € in a current account for five years?
Related reading & calculators
Sources
- 1.Interest rate on new household term deposits, monthly series · Banco de Portugal, BPstat
- 2.Consumer Price Index, December 2025: annual average change of 2.3% · Instituto Nacional de Estatística
- 3.Personal Income Tax Code, article 71: withholding rates (28% on deposit interest) · Autoridade Tributária e Aduaneira
- 4.Deposit Guarantee Fund: coverage up to 100 000 € per depositor and institution · Fundo de Garantia de Depósitos
Author / Reviewed by
Author
Thorben Rasmus Idel
Co-founder & writer
Co-founder of Calculadora Capital and the writer behind the methodology on every calculator and article. An entrepreneur and active investor, Thorben founded Idel Versandhandel GmbH, an international trading company operating across 16 countries, and invests across stocks, ETFs and cryptocurrency. He writes the methodology and verifies the math behind each page, drawing on hands-on business and investing experience to keep the tools and explanations grounded in how money, markets and taxes actually work for everyday people in Portugal.
Reviewed by
Nahar Geva
Co-founder & reviewer
Co-founder of Calculadora Capital and the independent reviewer behind every calculator and article. An entrepreneur and active investor, Nahar brings a data- and product-driven mindset together with hands-on experience in the markets, investing across stocks and ETFs as well as cryptocurrency and other digital assets, alongside broader personal finance and real estate. On each page Nahar reviews the methodology and double-checks the math and figures, pressure-testing how the tools and explanations hold up against the way money, markets and taxes actually work for everyday investors.
Published: Updated: Reviewed: